FORECASTING OF BISHKEK AIR QUALITY INDEX CLASSES ACCOUNTING FOR THE 2020-2021 PERIOD NEW DATA ON THE BASE LSTM-NETWORKS CLASSIFIER

Authors

Lychenko N.M. Machinery researching and Аutomatics Institute of Kyrgyz Republic National Academy of Science
Sorokovaya A.V. Machinery researching and Automatics Institute of Kyrgyz Republic National Academy of Sciences

Keywords:

classification, air quality index, LSTM neural network, forecast accuracy.

Abstract

Predictive models of the air quality index AQI in Bishkek have been developed based on classifiers based on the LSTM network. The models allow, depending on meteorological conditions and the previous history of AQI values, to predict the AQI class from the possible four integrated classes: AQI≤50 / 50 <AQI≤100 / 100 <AQI≤150 / AQI> 150. The forecast is possible up to 4 days ahead with an accuracy of at least 77%.

References

AirNow Depatment of State // https://airnow.gov/index.cfm?action=airnow.global _summary #U.S._Department_of_State $Bishkek, (дата обращения: 30.04.2021).

Лыченко Н.М., Великанова Л.И., Верзунов С.Н., Сороковая А.В. Модели прогноза уровня загрязнения атмосферного воздуха г. Бишкек// Вестник КРСУ. Т.24. №4. 2021. С.87-95.

Air Quality Index (AQI) - A Guide to Air Quality and Your Health. US EPA. 9 December 2011.

Лыченко Н.М., Сороковая А.В. Применение LSTM-нейронных сетей для классификации индекса качества воздуха г. Бишкек // Проблемы автоматики и управления. 2020. № 1 (38). С. 70-80. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.3904130

Understanding LSTM Networks. – URL: http://colah.github.io/posts/2015-08-Understanding-LSTMs/. (дата обращения 14.09.2020)

Курс CS231n: Convolutional Neural Networks for Visual Recognition.- URL: https://cs231n.github.io/neural-networks-3/#baby (дата обращения 01.09.2020)

Cайт «Расписание погоды rp5.ru» Архив погоды в Бишкеке https://rp5.ru/%D0%90%D1%80%D1%85%D0%B8%D0%B2_%D0%BF%D0%BE%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%B4%D1%8B

_%D0%B2_%D0%91%D0%B8%D1%88%D0%BA%D0%B5%D0%BA%D0%B5 (дата обращения: 30.04.2021)

Оценка классификатора (точность, полнота, F-мера). - URL: http://bazhenov.me/blog/2012/07/21/classification-performance-evaluation.html. (дата обращения 29.05.2020).

FORECASTING OF BISHKEK AIR QUALITY INDEX CLASSES ACCOUNTING FOR THE 2020-2021 PERIOD NEW DATA ON THE BASE LSTM-NETWORKS CLASSIFIER